Tuesday, August 19, 2014

All About Murphy's Law...!

Many of us have known for years that "Murphy' Law" was a real thing, not just a myth!

This article I found over at KnowledgeNuts seems to prove us right! Nice to know it wasn't just our imagination, right?

The Origin Of Murphy’s Law And Why It’s Real
By Debra Kelly on Monday, August 18, 2014

If anything can go wrong, it will. This pessimistic phrase has been around for a long time, but it was only called Murphy’s law when US Air Force colonel John Stapp applied the label after a technician working on his experiments with G forces showed up with some key components that were completely defective. Until Stapp applied the unlucky man’s name to the rule, it was earlier known as Sod’s Law. And researchers have found out that it’s a real thing—so next time it feels like the world is out to get you, it really might be.

If it can go wrong, it will go wrong. We’ve all had days like that, where it seems the only thing to do is go back to bed and start again the next day (which might actually work, but more on that in a minute).

What we now know as Murphy’s Law has been around probably as long as bad luck has been. It only started to be called that when a hapless Captain Edward A. Murphy was working on some experiments with US Air Force pilot John Stapp. Stapp was trying to determine how G forces impacted the human body, and Murphy designed the gauges that would be used to measure the impact that Stapp’s body endured. When it came time to install the gauges, they weren’t working. Hours later, it was discovered that the gauges he’d brought had been manufactured incorrectly from the beginning. Stapp still blamed him, as it meant he hadn’t been bothered to make sure they were functional before bringing them out. After they got them fixed, they went on to be used throughout the tests; Murphy, however, placed the blame on his assistant, and after he fixed the problem, he left the testing grounds never to return.

There are a couple slightly different versions of the same story, but that one was recounted by George Nichols, who worked on the G force project with Stapp. (During that time, Stapp also coined another law, called Stapp’s Ironical Paradox. It stated, “The universal aptitude for ineptitude makes any human accomplishment an incredible miracle.”)

Before the term “Murphy’s Law” was coined, the same rule was more commonly known as Sod’s Law—in some places, it’s still called that. And far from being a myth, British researchers have worked out the mathematics behind it that make it a very real thing.

It all has to do with aggravation.

The additional part of Murphy’s Law is that not only will things go wrong if they can, but that they’ll go wrong at the worst possible moment.

Scientists commissioned by British Gas took that idea and several other values into consideration, those that they knew would have the most impact on external events. That includes urgency, importance of the task at hand, complexity of the task, your skill at it, and how often you’ve done it before.

With the help of 1,000 participants, researchers were able to compile data into a graph form that showed that the more important a task is, the more likely Murphy’s Law is to hit. That’s usually because you’re more anxious about getting it right, and when there’s even one little hiccup, that anxiety rises. In turn, that makes you more likely to make other little mistakes, sometimes without realizing it, that will lead to even more mistakes and a more disastrous outcome. The more aggravated you are, the study said, the more statistically likely you are to screw up.

Another study done by Cardiff University supports the theory. In this study, factors that went into determining how likely things were to go horribly, horribly wrong included the extent of planning that was put into the task, the threat of the consequences of it not working, as well as a person’s optimism that everything will be fine, and the levels of background stress. Like the British Gas study, this one found that the more important the task, the more background stress and the less optimism went along with it—so it was more likely to go bad.

So, go home and go back to bed. Science says so.

Well, that certainly makes me feel better. After all, I always try to be a law abiding person, even if that law is Murphy's! Know what I mean?

Coffee out on the patio this morning. That's the Hermit's law!


Mamahen said...

I think I like Hermits Law mch better than Murphy's tho i'm well aquainted with Mr Murphy's law :))

HermitJim said...

Hey Mamahen...
I do believe that mine is more enjoyable, that's for sure! Had enough of Murphy's to last a lifetime!

Thanks for coming by this morning!

Chickenmom said...

Always wondered about that saying. Thanks for the interesting story on it, Mr Hermit! Cool here at 49. I'll bring some Dunkin's this morning.

linda m said...

Yes, Mr. Hermit, your law is a lot more enjoyable than Murphy's Law (of which I am well acquainted). That is a very interesting story as I never knew the origin of Murphy's Law. Just that is always followed me wherever I went.

texasann said...

Bubba -
I like the one that says "The liklihood of the pbj landing jelly down is directly linked to the cost of the rug", or something to that extent. Always seems to work at my house, anyway.
Coffee on the patio with Big Brother and friends seems like a fine way to start the day - count me in!
Big Hugs ~ Baby Sis

Sixbears said...

Then there's O'Tool's Law. Basically it states that Murphy was an optimist.

lotta joy said...

I always hate it when someone says "Well....it could be worse."

I always answer: "Wait. The day isn't over yet."

lotta joy said...

I always hate it when someone says "Well....it could be worse."

I always answer: "Wait. The day isn't over yet."

Dizzy-Dick said...

Do you have any idea what the date was when "Murphy's Law" got started?